Things are no better in Greece. In the past, Turkey and Greece have gone to the brink, but policies initiated by Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan may very much push the two neighbors over the edge. Turkey says, no way. So basically, the military talk is mere tough-guy talk that will not materialize. The head of the Greek Ministry of Defense, Nikos Panagiotopoulos, speaking of his country’s readiness to protect its sovereign rights, did not rule out the possibility of a conflict with Turkey. If war does come between Greece and Turkey the latter will have the advantage of its powerful drones. The same as Dayton in 1995, Resolution 1244 for Kosovo in 1999 or Ohrid in 2001. Acknowledgment of SNAFU! Powered by, Post Comments The only way it would even be plausible is if their leader feels like they are about to lose control/power and again I don't see the military going along with such an insane plan. Thimios Tzallas is a Programme Manager at the Hansard Society and a regular commentator on Greek and British politics for publications including Kathimerini Daily and EUobserver. Turkish and Greek people are friends. There has never been any love lost between Turkey and Greece, but the danger of war between the two NATO members has not been this high since the Cyprus conflict more than forty-five years ago. Skip to comments. Thimios Tzallas Similarly, only three years after Greece and Turkey came close to armed combat over the uninhabited small islets of Imia/Kardak, there was a period of rapprochement, with increased levels of diplomatic, as well as economic and social interactions. Greece had acquired Imia in a treaty with Italy in 1947, but the islets are in the middle of nowhere, and hardly anyone in the two countries, excepting a handful of shepherds and diplomats, knew they even existed. At the same time, the United States, as the leader of NATO, is faced with the task of preventing a military conflict between the two members of the alliance. The 2016 agreement between Europe and Turkey about managing refugee flows has rendered the relations between the two NATO allies extremely important. The confrontation is unavoidable. It is the second time in recent years that Greeks have seen their Prime Minister on this remote border island that lies just 1.25 nautical miles from the south-western coast of Turkey. Fascist Greek politicians (Minister of Defense) should end Greece-Turkey war rheoteric and agitations. In 2011, former Prime Minister George Papandreou also chose Kastellorizo to announce the entry of Greece into the Memorandum. Formerly, such incidents of Greek or Turkish soldiers crossing the border by mistake were settled automatically. The Mediterranean neighbours. To find out more about cookies and change your preferences, visit our, “a cluster of rocks inhabited by half a dozen sheep”, This is exactly what is happening now in the Aegean, tricks only last until they see our aircraft, announce the entry of Greece into the Memorandum, the second most preferred European destination, The 2016 agreement between Europe and Turkey. Turkish and Greek people are friends. Thimios Tzallas writes that although there are incentives for Greek and Turkish politicians to give the impression they are playing with fire in the Aegean, both are likely to retreat from full conflict. However, it may take until after the Turkish general election in June for tensions to decrease. ... We approached three times at least, during the past two years, the possibility of a huge conflict with Iran. Their status was decided by treaties after the two World Wars. If war does come between Greece and Turkey the latter will have the advantage of its powerful drones. Erdogans political future is held by the West. Military and War; Opinion; A war between Greece and Turkey, as assessed by the experts. In the context of the coalition government between the radical left and nationalist right, the Defence Ministry is directed by two politicians fond of conspiracy theories: The hawkish right-wing Defence Minister Panos Kammenos, and his deputy Fotis Kouvelis, a long-time politician of the left. In his biography, Clinton recounts how his administration managed to prevent the two NATO allies from going to war over “a cluster of rocks inhabited by half a dozen sheep”. This is a factor that Greece and Turkey must take very seriously into account before they continue the needless escalation of tensions. War Between Greece and Turkey Is Now a Real Possibility. After 1999 especially, Greece and Turkey came unexpectedly close by means of what became known as “earthquake diplomacy”, when earthquakes struck both countries. Despite Turkey’s long Mediterranean coastline, Greek claims regarding its exclusive economic zone — based on the wide geographic spread of Greece’s islands, in particular Crete and Rhodes off the Turkish coast, which, according to Athens, have their own continental shelf — are preventing Turkey from exploiting large areas of water over which it believes to have a claim and … To accept cookies, click continue. If we assess the possibility of an armed conflict, then most likely Turkey will win again. In the past, Turkey and Greece have gone to the brink, but policies initiated by Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan may very much push the two neighbors over the edge. The modus vivendi in the Aegean relieved the tension, but shifted the problem to the future. The issues in the Aegean fall into several categories: The best-known case is that of eight Turkish officers whom Erdoğan accuses of having participated in the coup and whom the Greek courts have refused to extradite to Turkey. Erdogan knows that the West can use Greece to poke him in the eye. It will only take a few flags placed on a few rocks just before the elections and a trap to make the turkish military look like fools. “I don’t believe in the possibility of a military confrontation between the two countries; but let’s imagine that it did happen. In the Aegean there are some 7,500 islands and islets. After the failed coup in Turkey, Greece has become the second most preferred European destination for anti-government Turks seeking asylum. Please read our comments policy before commenting. believes in Fair Use. Clinton is right. Arnold J. Toynbee argues: "The war between Turkey and Greece which burst out at this time was a defensive war for safeguarding of the Turkish homelands in Anatolia. This is exactly what is happening now in the Aegean. The second is that advanced by Bill Clinton. Turkey says, no way. Concurrently with the incidents in the Aegean, the two countries also confront each other on the diplomatic field. Out of ten results produced by googling the words “Greece” and “Turkey” together, eight are related to current or past conflicts between the Aegean neighbors. Its armed forces are stronger than the Cypriots and have experience in real combat. WOW. Greece Turkey conflict. Peter Suciu is a Michigan-based writer who … Sorry guys, another political post...EVERYONE was wrong about Trump, McDonnell-Douglas F-15 Eagle 1977 US Air Force, from "Aerospace Power". Flags are raised and lowered to declare national sovereignty, fighter jets violate national air space, incidents between coast guard vessels are played out. Turkey respects the Lausanne Treaty and has no annexation plans on Greece land and islands. Erdogan is merely there to witness the self-suicide of Europe; why risk the lives of Turkish soldiers. Atom In 1996 the former US President handled the last serious incident between the two countries. Concurrently, the politicians make dramatic statements for internal consumption in the two countries. I've been monitoring the comments and have been noting what I thought was the usual bluster between two ancient enemies but apparently thing are a bit more serious than I thought. Where did this myth of the Boxer IFV having unmatched ground mobility come from? Greek officials say that all options are on the table, and German Chancellor Angela Merkel has rushed to mediate as U.S. officials remain largely absent. Greece should also respect the Lausanne Treaty and not try to annex small islands near Turkey’s mainland which belong to Turkey as per Lausanne Treaty. If things between Greece and Turkey don’t cool down, a European/Mediterranean war will ensue. War between Greece & Turkey is now a real possibility – Analysis. Such a war would not be merely European but Euro-Asian and, at its furthest reach, global. The most likely scenario is that Greece and Turkey will indeed remember the importance of good neighbourly relations at the last moment. Turkey – Greece boarders have been defined in 1923 by Lausanne Treaty. The War of Narratives between Greece and Turkey in the European context. There has never been any love lost between Turkey and Greece, but the danger of war between the two NATO members has not been this high since the Cyprus conflict more than forty-five years ago. The Turkish President has also stated that “no peace is as good as peace with Greece”. There is no reason or a possibility for a Turkey Greece war. Skip to comments. The French are getting hit hard in Mali. He has limited himself to a symbolic visit to Kastellorizo. “I couldn’t help laughing to myself at the thought that whether or not I succeeded in making peace in the Middle East, Bosnia, or Northern Ireland, at least I had saved some Aegean sheep” recounts Clinton. The Treaty of Lausanne, concluded on July 24, 1923, obliged Greece to return eastern Thrace and the islands of Imbros and Tenedos to Turkey, as well as to give up its claim to Smyrna. In Greece the war was followed by a successful military coup against the monarchy. Greece—backed by the EU, Egypt and the United Arab Emirates—says the numerous islands it possesses in the area gives it sovereignty over the disputed waters. It is only a matter of time when the Soros backed militant hard-Left demands voting rights for these fakefugees, and once they have these voting rights, they will demand a referendum to allow the specific Island in question to secede from Greece and to be annexed by Turkey. A war between Greece and Turkey may be desired by international centers of power in order, among other things, to curtail Turkish independence tendencies and to undermine Erdogan by pushing him to “overextension”. There has never been any love lost between Turkey and Greece, but the danger of war between the two NATO members has not been this high since the Cyprus conflict more than 45 years ago. I've been monitoring the comments and have been noting what I thought was the usual bluster between two ancient enemies but apparently thing are a bit more serious than I thought. Well, war is a complex and hatefull event. In reprisal, Turkey arrested two Greek soldiers at the Evros border. Relations between the two nations have seen a marked downturn this year. However, we may have to wait for the end of the Turkish elections before things calm down. His goal is to sufficiently swarm the Islands with these people so they become a significant demographic of the Island population. Indeed, one of them was just released from custody. The American intervention defused the situation via diplomacy in the time-honoured Balkan way: an intermediate deal. Just a matter of time until a … After the 1922 war, for instance, there was a period of relative calm in the 1930s. A Greek news website quoted the statements of the Chief of Staff of the Greek Army, Constantius Florus, who did not rule out the occurrence of a “military conflict with Turkey in the event that Ankara proceeded to cross the red lines,” noting that “the military conflict is possible, and no one can exclude this possibility. The President of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, has called for snap elections on 24 June, and in a blatantly artificial way has suddenly raised the ante, stating recently that “their [the Greeks’] tricks only last until they see our aircraft, our army and our navy”. Both have described what is happening in the Aegean as an “undeclared war”. The rocks there are useful for raising flags, which the two sides are in the habit of doing in order to provoke each other and address the emotions of their domestic audience. For centuries, Turkey and Greece have shared a chequered history. Then, Greece and Turkey came to the verge of a naval confrontation over sovereignty of an islet (Imia according to the Greeks, Kardak according to the Turks). Greece—backed by the EU, Egypt and the United Arab Emirates—says the numerous islands it possesses in the area gives it sovereignty over the disputed waters. Otherwise, the two countries may once again reach a midnight crisis as in 1996. The Aegean is heating up. In an interview, Erdoğan proposed an exchange of the two Greek soldiers with the eight Turkish officers. Majority of Greeks and Turks do not want war. At the same time, the United States, as the leader of NATO, is faced with the task of preventing a military conflict between the two members of the alliance. Tensions have escalated between Greece and Turkey in recent months over territorial disputes in the Aegean, with a collision between a Turkish cargo ship and a Greek war ship on 4 May prompting a nervous response from some observers. Majority of Greeks and Turks do not want war. Tensions have escalated between Greece and Turkey in recent months over territorial disputes in the Aegean, with a collision between a Turkish cargo ship and a Greek war ship on 4 May prompting a nervous response from some observers.Thimios Tzallas writes that although there are incentives for Greek and Turkish politicians to give the impression they are playing with fire in the … There has never been any love lost between Turkey and Greece, but the danger of war between the two NATO members has not been this high since the Cyprus In the past, Turkey and Greece have gone to the brink, but policies initiated by Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan may very much push the two neighbors over the edge. If we assess the possibility of an armed conflict, then most likely Turkey will win again. There has never been any love lost between Turkey and Greece, but the danger of war between the two NATO members has not been this high since the Cyprus conflict more than forty-five years ago. By the end of 1922, the vast majority of native Pontian Greeks had fled Turkey due to the genocide against them (1914–1922), and the Ionian Greek Ottoman citizens had also fled due to the defeat of the Greek army in the later Greco-Turkish War (1919–1922), which had led to reprisal killings.. In light of the delusional and treasonous policies of the militant hard-Left in Berlin and Brussels of allowing and inviting any person into Europe due to their erroneous interpretation on the laws regarding “refugees”, Erdogan is taking advantage of this by allowing the trafficking of these people into the Aegean Islands and into mainland Greece. THIS ! The two sides give the impression that they are playing with fire in the Aegean but without feeling any real risk, since they know that in the end they will retreat, exactly as they did in 1996. According to some calculations, during the autumn of 1922, around 900,000 Greeks arrived in Greece. War Between Greece and Turkey Is Now a Real Possibility https://nationalinterest.org ^ | July 24, 2020 | by Michael Rubin Posted on 07/25/2020 5:52:45 PM PDT by RomanSoldier19. In February, Turkey had allowed thousands of migrants to cross the border into Greece and the European Union, irking the latter. ), Fauci admits to LYING about Covid-19 herd immunity threshold to manipulate public support for vaccine, moves goal post to 90%. A2A Q: Who would win in a full scale war between Turkey and Greece? There has never been any love lost between Turkey and Greece, but the danger of war between the two NATO members has not been this high since the Cyprus Because of what the two neighboring countries that are members of the North Atlantic Alliance, NATO, compete with and how high the likelihood of a military clash between Athens and Ankara is, the expert shared his opinion. It was a result of the Allied policy of imperialism operating in a foreign state, the military resources and powers of which were seriously under-estimated; it was provoked by the unwarranted invasion of a Greek army of occupation." One is that advanced by the two sides involved: the maritime boundaries between the two countries is an issue of strategic significance and prestige for both. It is a matter of when, EU foreign affairs (including defence, development aid and trade) and the European neighbourhood, We use cookies on this site to understand how you use our content, and to give you the best browsing experience. Turkey’s foreign affairs minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu claimed the actions of Athens could lead to war. War Between Greece and Turkey Is Now a Real Possibility There has never been any love lost between Turkey and Greece, but the danger of war between the two NATO members has not … Note: This article gives the views of the author, not the position of EUROPP – European Politics and Policy or the London School of Economics. War Between Greece and Turkey Is Now a Real Possibility https://nationalinterest.org ^ | July 24, 2020 | by Michael Rubin Posted on 07/25/2020 5:52:45 PM PDT by RomanSoldier19. There has never been any love lost between Turkey and Greece, but the danger of war between the two NATO members has not been this high since the Cyprus conflict more than forty-five years ago. ( The difference though, is that in the early hours the US President no longer resolves problems, he only comments about them on Twitter. There is no reason or a possibility for a Turkey Greece war. India and China came to the brink of war back on June 15 when scores of soldiers died from both sides (the exact figure is unknown but it is estimated that there were around 65 casualties). War between Greece & Turkey is now a real possibility – Analysis. ... did not rule out the possibility of a conflict with Turkey. Rest In Peace to their 3 lost Soldiers.... Russia set to restart development of an amphibious assault vehicle. This disagreement came to a head when Turkey began seismic tests in the Mediterranean Sea in areas Greece claims as it’s territorial waters. According to Ozulker, Greece’s strategy can be described as “inciting” stronger players against Turkey in order to bring it down”. Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment. In this context, it will be much clearer why we needed the S … Turkey – Greece boarders have been defined in 1923 by Lausanne Treaty. Turkey respects the Lausanne Treaty … Recent history indicates that the two countries occasionally stand on the brink of the abyss, but in the end do not fall into the trap of war. Turkey argues that Greece’s claims are an unrealistic interpretation of international law and encroach upon Turkey’s exclusive economic zone. War Between Greece and Turkey Is Now a Real Possibility WOW. At the same time, Greece made a significant change in its foreign policy, abandoning the use of its veto to obstruct Turkey’s aspirations to accede to the European Union. Both have at different times submitted questions in parliament about whether the Greek people are being sprayed from aeroplanes with substances that make them more receptive to the dictates of foreign decision centres. 3 comments | 5 shares ... After all, the possibility of Greece having acted in violation of human rights is by no means excluded. There has never been any love lost between Turkey and Greece, but the danger of war between the two NATO members has not been this high since the Cyprus conflict more than forty-five years ago. There has never been any love lost between Turkey and Greece, but the danger of war between the two NATO members has not been this high since the Cyprus conflict more than forty-five years ago. Peter Suciu is a Michigan-based writer who … I do sincerely wish that we will never have to find out. Its armed forces are stronger than the Cypriots and have experience in real combat. There are two ways to read the Greek-Turkish dispute that has escalated in recent weeks in the Aegean, prompting some to even talk about a possible military confrontation. War Between Greece and Turkey Is still a very real possibility By GMGadmin access_time 4 months ago There has never been any love lost between Turkey and Greece, but the danger of war between the two NATO members has not been this high since the Cyprus conflict more than forty-five years ago. However, as previously reported, only days after the Limnos severely damaged the Kemal Reis, specifically on August 20, a pair of Turkish F-16 fighter jets attempted to intervene in a Greek military exercise between the Army and the Air Force that was taking place close to the island of Rhodes. Tensions between Greece and Turkey have simmered ever since, and in 1996 the two countries came close to war over two uninhabited islets in the Aegean Sea, near Turkey’s western coast. Both Turkey and Greece have a highly volatile, emotional political and social culture. Via National Interest.. SNAFU! if our work is used is requested. The Greek Prime Minister is much more careful. The Aegean dispute is a set of interrelated controversies between Greece and Turkey over sovereignty and related rights in the region of the Aegean Sea.This set of conflicts has strongly affected Greek-Turkish relations since the 1970s, and has twice led to crises coming close to the outbreak of military hostilities, in 1987 and in early 1996. Turkey is provoking war at least in 5 regions at the moment: Lybia (confronting also France), Armenia (together with Azerbaijan), Syria, Iraqi Kurdistan and also Greece. Turkey Is Hungry for War With Cyprus ... could be seen simply as part of the generally problematic relationship between Turkey and the West following the … Yes Turkey houses NATO's strategic nukes but an attack on Greece makes a rethink of their NATO membership an easy call. 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